Your country and preferred language.

Select your country Select language

Denna webbplats använder cookies för att säkerställa att du får den bästa upplevelsen.

Menu
Sökalternativ
Stäng

Välkommen till Sveriges största bokhandel

Här finns så gott som allt som givits ut på den svenska bokmarknaden under de senaste hundra åren.

  • Handla mot faktura och öppet köp i 21 dagar
  • Oavsett vikt och antal artiklar handlar du till enhetsfrakt från samma säljare i samma kundvagn
Just nu finns inte titeln du söker på Bokbörsen. Skapa ett användarkonto eller logga in om du vill skapa en bevakning. Klicka sedan på knappen nedan. Du aviseras via e-post så snart artikeln kommer in igen.
The Black Swan

The Black Swan

Häftade böcker. Random House US. 2010. 444 sidor.

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan.

Förlagsfakta

ISBN
9780812973815
Titel
The Black Swan
Författare
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Förlag
Random House US
Utgivningsår
2010
Omfång
444 sidor
Bandtyp
Häftad
Mått
131 x 203 mm Ryggbredd 25 mm
Vikt
352 g
Språk
English